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  • ARTICLES

    The ISIS insurgency: A defining moment for Iraq

    Despite the speed and success of ISIS's recent advance, its reliance on the support of aggrieved Sunni groups means it is unlikely to make significant inroads into Southern Iraq over the coming weeks. Showcase attacks targeting Shi'a religious sites remain more likely in the short term, writes Noemi Casati.

  • ARTICLES

    Afghanistan's presidential race teeters on the brink

    A full-scale election audit has restarted and, while further disruptions are likely, indications are that a new Afghan president will be appointed by the autumn. A clear mandate to govern is vital to the country's stability but continues to elude both candidates. If the final result is not accepted, the country faces political paralysis, disaffection… 

  • ARTICLES

    Libya on the Brink

    Libya is paralysed by fighting between militia groups, and the new government faces an uphill struggle in preventing a slide into chaos, writes Tom Crooke.

  • ARTICLES

    Tunisia's transition to democracy

    Tunisia's fledgling government faces a challenging political, security and economic landscape and will need to combine pragmatism and compromise to realise the country's ambitions, writes Albert Arbuthnott.

  • ARTICLES

    Black flags in the Kingdom: Jordan's extremist threat

    Recent demonstrations in the town of Ma'an have highlighted the threat of domestic extremism, but Jordan's most effective response to this threat may lie less with the security apparatus, and more with the state's capacity to address socio-economic marginalisation in the country's south, writes Julian Karssen.

  • ARTICLES

    The Islamic State in Libya

    The recent intensification of activity by the Islamic State in Libya has prompted fears of a recurrence of the group's rapid expansion across Iraq and Syria. However, Libya's armed factions are not likely to accommodate a repeat performance by the extremist group, writes Julian Karssen.

  • ARTICLES

    Deconstructing Yemen's civil war

    The ongoing civil war in Yemen has been portrayed in the media as an extension of the regional sectarian-based rivalry between Sunni Saudi Arabia and Shi'a Iran. However, this threatens to simplify what is at its core a local conflict involving diverse factions and motivations, writes Julian Karssen.