Asia Pacific analysts, Mandira Bagwandeen and Ashleigh Somaroo, discuss the key risks and trends over 2017. Various threats to Chinese investment, driven by the ‘One-Belt, One Road' (OBOR) development strategy, are on the horizon while regional tensions look set to rise. Specifically, China-Taiwan, inter-Korean and India-Pakistan relations are likely…
Significant improvements in the security environment are likely in Colombia, where, barring significant delays, the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) militant group is expected to demobilise in the first half of the year.
Analysis by Carilee Osborne
Shifting geopolitics and a consolidation of control by several of the Middle East's ‘strongmen' has multiple implications for the region in 2017. Francesca Fazey and Julian Karssen consider the likely effects of Russia's emergence as the region's new global power, after its decisive role in the recapture of Aleppo.
Turkey enters 2017 facing security crises on multiple fronts. Francesca Fazey and Julian Karssen unpack the terrorism risk in the country in the year ahead.
Saif Islam assesses the stumbling blocks to a peaceful resolution to the war in eastern Ukraine.
Saif Islam assesses the factors that could reignite the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in 2017.
Several key elections are set to take place amid rising anti-establishment and Eurosceptic sentiment within EU states. Votes in the Netherlands, France, Germany, and possibly Italy, will challenge well-established centrist parties. These results could precipitate the unravelling of the EU, leaving its project of an “ever greater union” in a more precarious…
According to Reporters San Frontières (RSF), at the start of 2017, 178 journalists were imprisoned across the world, with 23 of them in Sub-Saharan Africa. With a worsening conflict in South Sudan and a state of emergency facilitating a greater government clampdown in Ethiopia, the number of cases is likely to remain high.