The recent attack on the Chabad of Poway synagogue in California once again highlights that while the US’s counter-terrorism agencies remain primarily focused on Islamist-inspired terrorism, the threat posed by far-right extremists is growing and deserves proportional attention, writes Tim Geschwindt.
In the context of the ongoing political and economic crisis, Timothy Geschwindt examines the consequences of a deteriorating security environment in Venezuela.
On 17 November 2018, nearly 300,000 people began the first in a series of anti-government protests triggered by a proposed fuel tax increase in France. Yellow vests protests have occurred every Saturday since, and are now in their 14th week. Tim Geschwindt examines the underlying drivers of the protests and assesses what lies ahead for the yellow vests…
In October 2018, the US, UK and Netherlands released synchronised statements condemning a series of Russian espionage operations abroad, increasing political tensions with key European countries. Tim Geschwindt explores the response to the most recent incidents of Russian espionage and how such developments may impact commercial operators with cross-regional…
On 17 September, a Russian military plane was shot down by a missile attack off the coast of Syria’s government-held Latakia province, killing all 15 crew members on board, and prompting Russia to upgrade the Syrian military’s anti-aircraft capabilities. In this article, Tim Geschwindt assesses Russia’s response to the incident.
Following the arrest of a North Caucasian kidnap for ransom gang in the Moscow region, Tim Geschwindt assesses the latest kidnapping trends in Russia, and examines the threat to businesspeople operating in the country.
On 26 August, a fatal street brawl in Chemnitz sparked three weeks of anti-migrant protests in eastern Germany. In this article, Tim Geschwindt assesses the drivers and implications of increasing far-right sentiment in the country.
Tim Geschwindt analyses the threat of Islamist terrorism in Western Europe using the recently published Global Terrorism Database statistics.
Whilst the World Cup is a target for both football hooligans and militant groups like Islamic State (‘IS’), several initiatives to strengthen the capabilities of the security forces are likely to mitigate the risks of terrorism and hooliganism at the tournament, writes Tim Geschwindt.
After Putin’s unsurprising victory in the Russian presidential election on 18 March, focus has shifted to expectations for Putin’s fourth, and officially last, term in office. With few catalysts for change present in the Russian political landscape, inertia in the domestic sphere and uncertainty in foreign policy is likely to characterise Putin’s fourth…
Reform and regime consolidation in Uzbekistan share much of the same path, what comes next is key, writes Tim Geschwindt.
Three major anti-government demonstrations since early 2017 have taken the Kremlin by surprise, but they are highly unlikely to challenge regime stability, writes Tim Geschwindt.