Earlier this week, Volodymyr Zelensky, a well-known comedian with no political experience, won the Ukrainian presidential election. Though Zelensky’s campaign was light on policies, his outsider status and anti-corruption rhetoric appealed to an electorate tired of the same establishment politicians. His transition from populist TV star to effective…
There were numerous active assailant incidents in several European Countries and the US in 2018. In the US, the trend of mass shootings and other active assailant attacks continued, with over 300 shooting incidents recorded as of November 2018. However, active assailant attacks have taken place in less expected locations, such as Canada and the Commonwealth…
Several significant elections are scheduled to take place around the world in 2019, and we review a number of these in this article. From Nigeria to Indonesia, Ukraine and Libya, the outcome of the 2019 electoral season will not only determine the sociopolitical and economic trajectories of individual countries, but also impact domestic and regional…
In this article, we examine the main kidnapping trends and incidents of 2018 from around the world, and look at some emerging trends likely to persist in 2019.
In October 2018, the US, UK and Netherlands released synchronised statements condemning a series of Russian espionage operations abroad, increasing political tensions with key European countries. Tim Geschwindt explores the response to the most recent incidents of Russian espionage and how such developments may impact commercial operators with cross-regional…
On 17 September, a Russian military plane was shot down by a missile attack off the coast of Syria’s government-held Latakia province, killing all 15 crew members on board, and prompting Russia to upgrade the Syrian military’s anti-aircraft capabilities. In this article, Tim Geschwindt assesses Russia’s response to the incident.
Danske Bank has found itself at the centre of a storm over findings that its Estonian branch acted as the hub of a money laundering scheme involving Russian and Eastern European customers. As criminal inquiries gather pace, the bank’s head office, Estonian subsidiary and the regulator should all take some blame for the scandal.
Just weeks after the UK government disclosed the names of the two Russian men alleged to have poisoned Sergei Skripal and his daughter in Salisbury, an investigative journalism collective claimed to have revealed their ‘true’ identities. Using the kinds of sophisticated open source research techniques deployed across the corporate intelligence sector,…
Following the arrest of a North Caucasian kidnap for ransom gang in the Moscow region, Tim Geschwindt assesses the latest kidnapping trends in Russia, and examines the threat to businesspeople operating in the country.
Analysis by Andrew Wychrij.
Whilst the World Cup is a target for both football hooligans and militant groups like Islamic State (‘IS’), several initiatives to strengthen the capabilities of the security forces are likely to mitigate the risks of terrorism and hooliganism at the tournament, writes Tim Geschwindt.