Neo Tsotetsi discusses the growing prominence of anti-migrant and xenophobic sentiment among South Africa’s citizenry, and explores the drivers behind related protests, which threaten to escalate into broader unrest.
Throughout 2025, Ahlus Sunnah wal Jamaah rebels demonstrated a renewed interest in local fundraising, specifically seeking to make inroads with Cabo Delgado’s artisanal miners to open a new revenue stream. Neo Tsotetsi examines the nascent emergence of this alliance, and the threat it may come to pose to foreign-owned mining companies across the province.…
Amid the losses of several key officials and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, the Islamic Republic of Iran must maintain its internal stability while fighting a war against the US and Israel. Neo Tsotetsi explores the domestic challenges to stability, and the outsized role Iran’s Revolutionary Guard will play in securing it.
Despite growing surveillance and increasingly restricted access to weapons globally, active assailant attacks continue to pose a significant threat in the travel security landscape. Through analysing active assailant incidents in 2025, Neo Tsotetsi unpacks factors which will continue to drive the threat in the coming year.
Gen Z protests have emerged as a global phenomenon in recent years, affecting at least 12 countries in 2025. With further such protests expected in 2026, Neo Tsotetsi explores the long-simmering grievances driving these movements, as well as their innovative use of technology to maintain momentum.
The late October fall of Al Fashir marked the consolidation of Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominance in southwest Sudan, splitting security control over the country and setting the RSF up to rule Darfur as a parallel government, Neo Tsotetsi argues.
In late September, youth-led protests denouncing high government expenditure on international sporting tournaments amid the underfunding of public services took root across the country. Neo Tsotetsi examines the issues driving these demonstrations and the impact they have had on Morocco thus far.
Civic organisations, locally known as 'ormas,' have long maintained a reputation across Indonesia as extortionists and ‘thugs,’ frequently demanding money from businesses as part of an established protection racket. Neo Tsotetsi discusses two pre-eminent ormas operating in Jakarta and countrywide, GRIB Jaya and Pemuda Pancasila, to examine their tactics…
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s renewed push for an Ethiopian sea port has stoked tensions in the Horn of Africa, threatening the re-emergence of war between Ethiopia and Eritrea. However, as Neo Tsotetsi discusses, the current dynamics lend themselves more to a continuation of the familiar proxy routine than open conflict.
As several African countries head to the polls in the second half of 2025, democratic freedoms in many states continues to shrink, drawing public ire and concerns over longer-term political stability. Richard Gardiner and Neo Tsotetsi examine these dynamics in Côte d’Ivoire, Malawi, and Tanzania as key elections approach.
Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra faces a backlash after a leaked phone call about a growing border dispute with Cambodia, driving cracks in her coalition government, and fears over another military coup. But Thailand’s military could instead exploit other areas of influence to capitalise on the current instability and increase its political…
Extortion syndicates have increasingly been targeting mining companies in South Africa, deploying a mix of old and newer tactics. Neo Tsotetsi examines these dynamics.