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Regions
  • ARTICLES

    Breaking the bank: Living costs, fuel, global unrest and political instability

    Governments continue to face destabilising protests brought on by the lingering socio-economic repercussions of the Covid-19 pandemic, and the ongoing impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. S-RM’s Strategic Intelligence team highlights the countries likely to become (or remain) hotspots for unrest in the coming months.

  • ARTICLES

    Europe's balancing act: Tensions flare as Ukraine's conflict stokes domestic unrest

    Pro-Russian protests and rising anti-Russian sentiment in European cities will force leaders to balance public anger at Russia’s invasion with the need to protect civil liberties and prevent politically and ethnically motivated violence. Erin Drake explores the challenges facing European governments that could escalate societal tensions and drive unrest… 

  • ARTICLES

    Unintended consequences: Is Russia's aggression driving Nordic NATO expansion?

    Heavy military losses and a failed bid to rapidly seize Kyiv show Russia’s war in Ukraine has clearly not gone to plan. But in invading Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin has succeeded in bringing about a major change in the European security dynamic, albeit one that runs precisely counter to Russia’s objectives: a more attractive NATO that looks… 

  • ARTICLES

    The Ukrainian crisis: A recipe for civil unrest in Europe

    Amid rising energy costs and inflation exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, Europe now faces the added challenge of the continent’s fastest-growing refugee crisis since World War 2. Richard Gardiner writes that these pressures, and the associated escalation in the cost of living, could drive sustained civil unrest in Europe in the coming year.

  • ARTICLES

    The state of terrorism: A snapshot of Islamic extremism in 2021/22

    Darren Davids writes that terror plots in Europe and the US will continue to manifest as traditional lone-wolf attacks in 2022. However, in weaker states in Africa and the Middle East, porous borders, security vacuums and a lack of governance will continue to enable the spread of Islamic extremism.

  • ARTICLES

    Dangerous words: The prospect of renewed conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Recent threats of secession made by Milorad Dodik, the Serbian representative of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s three-person presidency, have stoked fears about the potential for renewed conflict in the region. Darren Davids writes that Dodik’s comments are simply aggressive posturing and are unlikely to prompt renewed violence.

  • ARTICLES

    White lines: Tracking cocaine trafficking to Europe

    Growing cocaine shipments to the Netherlands in recent years have been accompanied by an increased pervasiveness of violent criminal groups in the country. Markus Korhonen looks at the potential emergence of a Dutch narco-state.

  • ARTICLES

    Global protests: Taking a jab at Covid-19 vaccinations

    Anti-vaccine protests have become a global phenomenon with varying driving factors ranging from low levels of trust in government to safety fears over the vaccines. Darren Davids writes that, governments and businesses will have to find creative solutions to get people to vaccinate given the cost and impact of renewed waves of infection.

  • ARTICLES

    Terrorism in Europe: The resurgence of the Islamic State

    The resurgence of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria has coincided with a recent spate of attacks in Europe writes Darren Davids. While intelligence agencies have been able to foil large scale plots, the Islamic State will be increasingly relying on radicalised lone attackers.

  • ARTICLES

    No simple solutions: Tackling Islamic terrorism in France

    A number of high-profile Islamist terror incidents rocked France in 2020. The response to the attacks demonstrated again the French government’s challenge of maintaining a secular state while seeking to avoid alienating groups with firmly held religious convictions. At the same time, responses internationally point to a growing divide between Europe…