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  • ARTICLES

    Persistent instability: Unrest continues under Boluarte

    As Peru experiences yet another cycle of demonstrations over its most recent leadership change, political infighting continues to hamper efforts to address the protesters' grievances. Erin Drake examines the recent unrest in Peru, and its impact on the commercial environment.

  • ARTICLES

    Wagner after Prigozhin: What's next?

    Yevgeny Prigozhin’s death, two months after his failed mutiny against the Russian state, poses yet another setback for the Wagner mercenary group. While likely to see significant change closer to home, the impact on the group’s operations in Africa will not be immediate, writes Saif Islam.

  • ARTICLES

    Organised crime groups show innovation amid geopolitical change

    Interpol’s inaugural Global Crime Trend Report released in October 2022 underscores the growing threat that criminal activity, including organised crime and illicit trafficking, presents across the globe. This upward trend in criminality has continued in the first half of 2023. Cameron Cullen and Richard Gardiner discuss some of the notable crime developments… 

  • ARTICLES

    A piece of the pie: Extortion in South Africa's construction industry

    So-called ‘construction mafias’ have long held sway over South Africa’s construction industry, often demanding a cut of any development project. Tamsin Hunt looks at how these groups operate, and whether government efforts and other recourse are effective in combatting these groups.

  • ARTICLES

    Measuring success: The possible outcomes for Ukraine's counteroffensive

    With Ukraine’s long-awaited counteroffensive in southern and eastern Ukraine now under way, pressure will build on Kyiv to demonstrate its forces can make strategic gains and prove to its Western allies that it can win the war. Richard Gardiner discusses the nature of the task at hand, and measures what success and failure would look like for Ukraine.… 

  • ARTICLES

    Democratic backsliding? Uncertainty and unrest ahead of Senegal's 2024 election

    Violent protests triggered by the sentencing of opposition leader, Ousmane Sonko, in June 2023 have raised concerns over the government’s growing clampdown on opposition, and incumbent President Macky Sall’s ambitions for a controversial third term in office. These factors could exacerbate anti-government sentiment and drive intensified unrest ahead… 

  • ARTICLES

    From suing to sabotage: Protest risks to the fossil fuels industry

    Protests against the fossil fuels industry in Europe are becoming more assertive and more frequent, as the appetite for a “fair” energy transition grows. Diana Diaz-Valdes Teran examines some of the protest risks increasingly affecting the sector, including legal action, shareholder activism, and infrastructure sabotage.

  • ARTICLES

    The perfect storm: Pakistan's crises converge

    Events following Imran Khan’s recent arrest illustrate the former prime minister’s popular appeal and ability to mobilise protest action. Combined with the deepening economic crisis and escalating political tensions ahead of the October elections, Pakistan faces a period of significant instability and rising levels of civil unrest, writes Richard Gardiner.…