Organised criminal groups have proven resilient to challenges affecting the global commercial environment since the Covid-19 pandemic and the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war. Such groups have exploited evolving technologies and growing industries to tighten their grip over illicit and licit markets. Erin Drake explores these dynamics, and their potential…
Despite some unrest by incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro’s supporters after his defeat in the October 2022 elections, Brazil’s democratic culture and institutions are helping to prevent a right-wing backlash that many expected would result in an attempted ‘self-coup.’ But socio-political tensions remain high, and Bolsonaro could use these pressure…
Pro-Russian protests and rising anti-Russian sentiment in European cities will force leaders to balance public anger at Russia’s invasion with the need to protect civil liberties and prevent politically and ethnically motivated violence. Erin Drake explores the challenges facing European governments that could escalate societal tensions and drive unrest…
Erin Drake considers whether, facing a legacy of presidential ousting and political instability, President Pedro Castillo can avoid impeachment long enough to calm investor nerves and steer Peru away from growing unrest.
With the continued increase in global vaccination levels, travel bans are easing as countries restart their tourism sectors. Erin Drake writes that while travel dynamics may look a little different in 2022, the usual security threats remain.
The Covid-19 pandemic and its knock-on effects have driven protests worldwide since 2020. Erin Drake writes that protests over climate change, anti-vaccine mandates and anti-austerity measures will remain disruptive, and in some cases gain ground through 2022.
Latin America’s latest elections will likely exacerbate political and socio-economic instability in 2022, writes Erin Drake.
Facing declining popular support, embattled President Jair Bolsonaro’s controversial policies and continued efforts to undermine democratic processes will drive unrest in the coming months ahead of the 2022 elections, writes Erin Drake.
Social discontent and the ongoing process of rewriting the country’s constitution will form the backdrop for Chile’s November 2021 elections. While a new government and constitution could calm further major unrest, it could also drive changes to the country’s current pro-business landscape, writes Erin Drake.
Haiti’s declining appeal as a foreign investment destination will suffer further setbacks as a weak, post-assassination interim government faces ongoing instability and struggles to prepare for elections, writes Erin Drake.
The Colombian government’s inability to implement tax reforms with the hope of boosting economic growth and investor confidence, coupled with protests and widespread supply-chain disruptions, will likely sustain political and economic instability ahead of elections in 2022, writes Erin Drake.
As protest action persists, the deterioration of public order has buttressed gangs and allowed opportunistic criminal activity to thrive, writes Erin Drake.